The Road to AGI is Longer Than You Think

Reflecting on technology's promise versus its reality, I revisit Time Magazine's 1965 predictions about automation and leisure, comparing these optimistic forecasts with the actual technological progress over the past decades. The repeated overestimation of technology's impact on societal well-being and slower-than-expected advancements in areas like autonomous vehicles and microprocessor design helps inform the roadmap to artificial general intelligence.

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